Livid-Prose
0x60b2a17f0472db7361ae3189ad99063efe0b3cce
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-534.6K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
71%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 8.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13280 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$312.07
$-48.90
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$300.00
$120.88
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.50
$83.38
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$162.50
$-16.63
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13280 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$112.88
$-248.09
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$112.50
$-66.63
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$87.50
$-91.63
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13280 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$73.04
$-287.93
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13280 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$59.76
$-301.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.26Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
81/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
42 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.