Chilly-Snail
0x60b52662770d49b79123974d01344a4970c10673
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$68.55
Total PnL
$-6.87
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 14?
38 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$33.58
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$17.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?
44 shares @ 13.3¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$11.39
$5.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?
9 shares @ 18.1¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.89
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?
4 shares @ 33.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.08
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?
26 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 25?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?$1.35Aug 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 14?$5.34Aug 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 14?$40.16Aug 12, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?$20.67Aug 12, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?$4.10Aug 12, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?$2.23Aug 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?$4.98Aug 12, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$20.18Aug 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.22Aug 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$9.90Aug 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$8.86Aug 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?$1.10Aug 12, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?$34.79Aug 12, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?$5.25Aug 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?$13.48Aug 12, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?$0.38Aug 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$0.78Aug 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$0.25Aug 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?$24.02Aug 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$0.82Aug 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.