Fearful-Growth
0x60b5d2f788926ab0ae28237b25e5e22472d92891
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-155.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
685 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US-EU trade deal before June?
607 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
455 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
122 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
76 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Really" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)$5.00Feb 16, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)$15.00Jan 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)$12.75Jan 4, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3)$10.00Jan 4, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$5.00Oct 29, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Oct 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade deal before June?$3.00May 23, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade deal before June?$20.00May 23, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$10.00May 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?$10.00May 23, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?$0.00Apr 15, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMEnergy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $0.00Apr 15, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$10.00Apr 14, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $55.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.