Worrisome-Divorce
0x60bb47f1f070c08c76b150d83f7729f5dbefa448
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-47.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
996 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
280 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$7.92Mar 31, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$13.47Mar 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$4.53Mar 30, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.80Mar 30, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$16.28Mar 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.01Mar 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.71Mar 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$84.00Mar 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.00Mar 25, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$480.00Mar 25, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$84.00Mar 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$75.92Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.22Mar 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.47Mar 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$13.28Mar 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.35Mar 23, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$48.68Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$297.60Mar 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paradex launch a token on March 5?$15.79Mar 5, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $33.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.