Naive-Principal
0x60c4a636b334aeb0cc462576ac1fbcb26d2b0d42
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$52.92
Total PnL
$-6.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.55
$0.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Lance Stroll finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
1110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?
2 shares @ 81.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
2 shares @ 86.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.19Jan 22, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$5.75Jan 22, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$3.10Jan 16, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?$3.59Jan 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$3.00Jan 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?$3.00Jan 15, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$33.71Jan 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 12?$1.02Dec 13, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?$2.02Dec 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?$2.00Dec 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?$2.00Dec 12, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 11?$1.02Dec 12, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 10?$0.00Dec 11, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".