Honest-Middle
0x60d567cf90278166bcf66d163fee492faee19af9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$58.58
Total PnL
$-422.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
230 shares @ 32.6¢·now 16.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.74
$-37.26
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$20.83
$15.83
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
981 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
382 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
372 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?
313 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
203 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 18?
155 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$0.00Apr 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$4.00Feb 8, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?$28.73Feb 8, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?$62.50Feb 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$12.00Jan 6, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$20.00Jan 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$20.00Jan 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?$4.00Dec 30, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.00Dec 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$17.67Dec 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$20.00Dec 24, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$5.00Dec 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$44.67Dec 22, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?$0.00Dec 21, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?$0.00Dec 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$10.00Dec 21, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?$1.00Dec 21, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?$26.67Dec 21, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.