Fragrant-Chap
0x60d6527ab3d07341efd8f3df1636ce0149d6b809
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$383.77Jul 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$386.75Jul 6, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$388.50Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$388.50Jul 6, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$365.75Jun 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$366.11Jun 26, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$360.00Jun 26, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$93.00Jun 26, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$279.00Jun 26, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$379.60Jun 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$380.00Jun 25, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$377.23Jun 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$376.04Jun 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia coup attempt in 2026?$280.60Jun 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$280.60Jun 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)$23.73May 21, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)$23.50May 21, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?$36.26May 21, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?$38.85May 21, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?$38.85May 21, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $191.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.