0x60d8ac707f20d636d50fb70d4137d17b3aa8915a
0x60d8ac707f20d636d50fb70d4137d17b3aa8915a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$103.87
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-235.56
Win rate
16%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 6?
105 shares @ 9.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$81.13
$71.62
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 6?
104 shares @ 9.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$12.44
$3.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 6?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$5.42
$-3.97
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on July 7?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.52
$-28.48
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on July 8?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.75
$-4.70
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 6?
120 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.72
$-10.19
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on July 6?
120 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.54
$-10.37
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?
110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-54.73
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?
103 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-16.87
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
100 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-16.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 8?$1.08Jul 6, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 8?$1.00Jul 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 8?$1.85Jul 6, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 8?$0.04Jul 6, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?$2.79Jul 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 6?$0.33Jul 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 6?$1.15Jul 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 8?$0.90Jul 6, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?$1.95Jul 6, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 7?$3.69Jul 6, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?$2.98Jul 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?$1.80Jul 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 8?$1.56Jul 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 8?$1.33Jul 6, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 8?$1.70Jul 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 7?$0.09Jul 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?$0.36Jul 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?$3.53Jul 6, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 8?$1.08Jul 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 7?$2.01Jul 6, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 95 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
95 closed markets, 16% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.