Stained-Obligation
0x60e5458eb79cd502448fe3a1792747a81e902085
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-259.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.82
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
3050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider$9.53Jun 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$9.85May 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$9.18May 15, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$5.81May 11, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$5.02May 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.88Mar 18, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$3.05Mar 2, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.00Mar 2, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.45Mar 2, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.33Mar 2, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$114.71Feb 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?$114.71Feb 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?$90.71Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizuki$90.71Feb 21, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizuki$85.06Feb 21, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$85.06Feb 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$74.00Feb 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$74.00Feb 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$60.00Feb 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?$53.04Feb 18, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $44.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".