Neglected-Topic
0x60e719e738507bb8a22cf59771280efcc7103f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.3K
Realised
$-167.82
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
3364 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
1167 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-386.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
1045 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-626.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
968 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-644.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
909 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-540.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
747 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-495.00
- YES
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
700 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
684 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-657.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
619 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-347.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
604 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$404.91Jul 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$112.38Jul 27, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$510.29Jul 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$491.36Jul 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$35.24Jul 27, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$530.61Jul 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$520.73Jul 27, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$20.41Jul 27, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$10.01Jul 27, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$10.01Jul 27, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.10Jul 27, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.01Jul 27, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$20.63Jul 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$20.04Jul 27, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$29.11Jul 27, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$13.16Jul 27, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$10.16Jul 27, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$58.24Jul 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$53.33Jul 26, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.75Jul 26, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $65.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.