Our-Subexpression
0x60ed511de7838ee3a05d49d1b885261a88c1996a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-78.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?
8451 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 20?
6930 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 21?
5091 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET
1794 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-472.20
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET
1113 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 29?
1022 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
577 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
313 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jul 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$0.58Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.18Jul 11, 22:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$152.34Jun 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$153.33Jun 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$192.00Jun 20, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$106.87Jun 16, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $42.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.