Ill-Fated-Detail
0x60f4c710d9cbc25e5fb7c17bd809a743c215dd4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$47.46
Total PnL
$-23.49
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.71
$16.71
- NO
Iran Nuke in 2025?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$1.80
- NO
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
314 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.86
- YES
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$5.67Jul 24, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$22.80Jul 24, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00Jul 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$0.00Jul 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00Jul 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$0.00Jul 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00Jul 5, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$0.90Jul 4, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$0.10Jul 4, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$1.00Jul 4, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Jul 2, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.00Jul 2, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$21.30Jul 2, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$40.29Jul 2, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$6.36Jul 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$2.75Jul 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$18.20Jul 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$5.11Jul 1, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.11Jul 1, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.27Jul 1, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.