Warlike-Pickax
0x60fc0f759e68323879f97797f090c55e7e581031
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$83.33
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- JUAN MANUEL CERUNDOLO
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$83.33
$33.33
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
283 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?
225 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-12-11?
221 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Warriors
176 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
175 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?
174 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Celtic FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
169 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-49.04
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?
160 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)
149 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$50.60May 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$92.40Feb 25, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$10.67Feb 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$7.55Feb 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$1.60Feb 19, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$22.71Feb 18, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$49.13Feb 18, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$7.37Feb 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$7.49Feb 15, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$82.18Feb 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$16.35Feb 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$0.63Feb 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$0.37Feb 15, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$50.00Feb 9, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$70.00Feb 9, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?$282.36Feb 8, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$34.22Feb 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$43.40Feb 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$6.60Feb 7, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$5.20Feb 7, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.