Arid-Miss
0x60fd7a2336d5aa8a868182a317e3fa934040bd67
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.28
Total PnL
$-108.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$-6.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.37
$-8.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
166 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.41
$-15.58
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
75 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.11
$-6.89
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
260 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
177 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
66 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
40 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
- UP
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on December 8?
26 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 1, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 1, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 8, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 8, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 2, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.67Jan 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$9.11Jan 15, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Dec 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Dec 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Dec 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on December 8?$20.00Dec 7, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.