Complex-Rooster
0x6115682588c766271d9c6bff327245b43af2159f
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.15
Realised
$-23.39
Win rate
15%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- UP
HYPE Up or Down - August 5, 6PM ET
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.07
- UNDER
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
16 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.48
- OVER
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- AVALANCHE
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
- CANADIENS
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- OVER
Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- OVER
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
12 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
- DETROIT TIGERS
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
12 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- UNDER
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
12 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down - August 5, 6PM ET$36.30Aug 5, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$35.80Aug 4, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.77Aug 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$7.36Aug 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$6.23Aug 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.54Aug 3, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$5.18Jul 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.59Jul 30, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.10Jul 24, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.55Jul 24, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$6.54Jul 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$3.35Jul 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros$2.30Jul 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros$0.14Jul 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRakuten Monkeys vs. Uni-President Lions$2.51Jul 15, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$5.90Jul 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$2.96Jul 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5$3.26Jul 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5$3.12Jul 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$6.87Jul 4, 04:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.