Ordinary-Chive
0x611712da29d910ad4b8a6f6c1c56050f9b67ba8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-799.13
Realised
$-15.70
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
2580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
162 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
97 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
76 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
37 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
30 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
28 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.13Jul 22, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.00Jul 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.88Jul 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$3.10Jul 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.76Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.10Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.37Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.10Jul 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.51Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.09Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.11Jul 21, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.45Jul 21, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$3.00Jul 21, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$3.10Jul 21, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.45Jul 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.00Jul 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.71Jul 21, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.05Jul 21, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.10Jul 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.66Jul 21, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.