Tight-Skullcap
0x611c004fb2b06e3874d9b7ee1a8d6f16c38b9ae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-634.29
Realised
$-107.54
Win rate
0%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
203 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
185 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
63 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 17?
55 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$3.01Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.25Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.03Aug 19, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.27Aug 19, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.95Aug 19, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.22Aug 19, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.02Aug 19, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.68Aug 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.61Aug 19, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$2.60Aug 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$2.03Aug 19, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?$2.11Aug 18, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?$1.39Aug 18, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?$0.49Aug 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?$1.29Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?$2.61Aug 17, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 18?$4.72Aug 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 18?$2.18Aug 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 17?$1.30Aug 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?$1.65Aug 16, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
196 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.