Cluttered-Ingrate
0x611ca7033d697d41887ffe645b398037be0f0086
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 9?
305 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 14?
286 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?
283 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 26?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?
279 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 19?
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 30?
276 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 18?
274 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23?
269 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 11?
262 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?$62.67Jan 17, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?$0.19Jan 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?$66.64Jan 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$56.38Jan 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?$2.68Jan 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on January 14?$3.59Jan 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?$3.10Jan 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$1.80Jan 10, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 10, 3PM ET$2.05Jan 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 10?$2.17Jan 9, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 9?$2.47Jan 9, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 8, 9PM ET$1.60Jan 9, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 9?$1.58Jan 8, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 7?$1.03Jan 7, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 7?$2.65Jan 7, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 6?$3.89Jan 5, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on January 5?$2.00Jan 5, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$55.94Dec 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$7.30Dec 9, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$7.30Dec 9, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.