Direct-Waterbed
0x611fb7f4e51a501ffc0a291cbe39f03a1e44af72
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 27?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- STARS
Stars vs. Lightning
19 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$114.11Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$114.01Jun 2, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$114.11Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$114.01May 30, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$114.11May 30, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$114.01May 27, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$113.11May 24, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$113.01May 23, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$113.89May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$113.79May 16, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$113.11May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$113.00May 13, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$113.11May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$113.01May 11, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$113.11May 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$113.01May 6, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$110.33May 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$110.02May 2, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.10May 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.13May 2, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $67.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".