Serene-Clothes
0x612dd719ea3c5726a27d76d4746ca4114391013d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$14.26
Total PnL
$-10.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$11.11
$10.11
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Mar 6, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.80Mar 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?$1.00Mar 5, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?$1.00Mar 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.00Mar 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$1.00Mar 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 5, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 5, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$6.79Mar 5, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon in March?$1.00Mar 3, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$7.00Mar 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.