Experienced-Judgment
0x612e0d9ffc31ac78a797ea195e4198c1e96741b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on August 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122K on August 22?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $115K on August 19 at 4PM ET?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 13?
233 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 18?
82 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 1?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $123K on August 12 at 5PM ET?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 14, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.00Nov 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,900 on September 18?$1.00Sep 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 18?$1.00Sep 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $124,000 on September 18?$1.00Sep 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $4600 on August 22?$8.23Aug 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4600 on August 22?$1.00Aug 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4000 on August 22?$1.00Aug 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122K on August 22?$1.00Aug 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $115K on August 19 at 4PM ET?$1.00Aug 19, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $123K on August 12 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 13?$1.00Aug 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on August 13?$1.00Aug 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 9?$1.00Aug 9, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 2, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 1?$2.00Aug 1, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".