Stylish-Townhouse
0x613963e741f4174b456744c59fb9425729af8a91
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
204 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 10PM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 September 22-28?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 17, 10PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 17, 12PM ET$1.00Jan 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 12PM ET$1.00Jan 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$1.00Oct 29, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.76Oct 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.19Oct 27, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.04Oct 27, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opensea launch a token by December 31? $1.00Oct 23, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 18, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.00Oct 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Oct 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$1.00Oct 13, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $1.00Oct 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.