Bony-Stranger
0x613fd08769cc23b36a01d514ae727169f82ffbe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-58.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-2.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Beautiful clean coal" this week?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.00Sep 30, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimmel say "Apologize" or "Sorry" 5+ times during return show on September 23?$8.00Sep 30, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Apologize" or "Sorry" 5+ times during return show on September 23?$2.00Sep 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Dictator" during return show on September 23?$2.00Sep 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Midterm" during return show on September 23?$2.00Sep 23, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$2.94Sep 23, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$10.00Sep 23, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$2.00Sep 19, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$1.00Sep 19, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?$1.00Sep 19, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China win Intervision 2025?$2.00Sep 19, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$3.00Sep 19, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "107 Days" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$1.00Sep 19, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$2.00Sep 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$1.00Sep 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Sep 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$3.00Sep 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?$3.79Sep 19, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.