Wallet digest

Activity score

65/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.01

Total PnL

$9.51

Realised

$36.66

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup?
21 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2022
$0.01
$-7.09
NO
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
990 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021
$0.00
$-10.18
YES
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?
137 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022
$0.00
$-1.20
YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
127 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2022
$0.00
$-7.40
YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
3 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022
$0.00
$-1.27

Recent activity

MERGEWill Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?$10.40Dec 5, 21:53 UTC
MERGEWill Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?$113.09Oct 1, 16:37 UTC
REDEEMWill Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17?$64.66Jun 23, 14:14 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry40 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk65 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 23, 14:14 UTC
Last active: Dec 5, 21:53 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 00:08:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data