Self-Assured-Snowstorm
0x614a41fbdda1f87bd8b2ef96f02800e3eb2dc581
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-512.36
Win rate
0%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
2791 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
523 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-310.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
378 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
211 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-121.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
151 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-89.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
57 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.73
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
21 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
13 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
12 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.05Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.05Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$50.24Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.05Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$50.24Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.05Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$65.66Jul 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$50.03Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$137.15Jul 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$50.42Jul 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.08Jul 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.09Jul 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$50.45Jul 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.19Jul 17, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$127.62Jul 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$50.77Jul 17, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
62 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $259.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.