Quixotic-Amber
0x614cbef32870edfccdf2f7eb6960307f3c055096
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.69
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
495 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.69
$-2.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
13836 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4611 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2308 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2308 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2308 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.41Mar 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.04Mar 16, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$6.00Mar 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$5.95Feb 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1.52Jan 7, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.52Jan 7, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$2.04Jan 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.00Jan 7, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.00Dec 17, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1.50Dec 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.50Dec 4, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$2.00Nov 26, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$150.60Nov 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$4.5KNov 13, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.6KNov 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.3KNov 13, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.3KNov 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$17.00Nov 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.3KNov 13, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $819.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".