0x615a2701fd78c4a228b9af289837e721b3c400bb
0x615a2701fd78c4a228b9af289837e721b3c400bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.03
Realised
$-21.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 1 of the 2026 flu season be at least 35?
2509 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 1 of the 2026 flu season be at least 30?
777 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.83
- NO
Will there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 10 - March 17, 2026?$5.00Mar 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.99Mar 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.07Jan 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.02Jan 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.02Jan 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.02Jan 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.54Jan 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.28Jan 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.21Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.27Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.29Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.03Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$0.05Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.05Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.41Jan 16, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".