0x615a6385fa9ee8425c2e72b98943fbc6d31cf906
0x615a6385fa9ee8425c2e72b98943fbc6d31cf906
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$80.00
Total PnL
$-67.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
38 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$38.00
$5.09
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
17 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$17.00
$4.76
- YES
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
15 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.00
$1.95
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
10 shares @ 75.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$2.42
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
70 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.38
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7.58Mar 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$9.00Mar 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.42Mar 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$18.90Mar 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.85Mar 2, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$4.30Feb 28, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.29Feb 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$6.30Feb 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$33.13Feb 27, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$5.00Feb 26, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$12.24Feb 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?$9.75Feb 24, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.60Feb 23, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.08Feb 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$3.80Feb 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$25.48Feb 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?$13.05Feb 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$32.91Feb 20, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $13.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.