Stale-Goat
0x616049884ce112344faeb9d1dcf5143e49611412
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10490 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.49
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
9430 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.67
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Natalia Silva win by KO or TKO?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
116 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- PIMBLETT
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
24 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.18Jan 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natalia Silva win by KO or TKO?$1.00Jan 25, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$1.00Jan 25, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$3.00Jan 25, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.00Jan 25, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0.00Jan 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?$2.00Jan 20, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 20?$2.50Jan 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.93Jan 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$4.00Jan 20, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.50Jan 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.49Jan 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 19, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.