0x6160586857c21090fc70082844b50deca230fb97
0x6160586857c21090fc70082844b50deca230fb97
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?
271 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?
211 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
182 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico US Senate Election?
177 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.71
- YES
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?
173 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.20Dec 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.10Dec 9, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.10Dec 7, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?$0.21Dec 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.13Dec 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.16Dec 1, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2024-11-30?$0.17Nov 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.16Nov 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.20Nov 29, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.42Oct 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Mexico US Senate Election?$0.71Oct 6, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.33Sep 30, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEverton wins the Premier League?$0.37Sep 28, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.40Sep 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.20Sep 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.20Sep 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.33Sep 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.40Sep 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton wins the Premier League?$0.37Sep 27, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.