0x6160eef8e0f8ae1676d64e4a847b9470863c7f02
0x6160eef8e0f8ae1676d64e4a847b9470863c7f02
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$36.92
Total PnL
$-9.57
Realised
$-9.79
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of June 29 2026?
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$11.69
$2.21
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $530 Week of June 29 2026?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$10.45
$0.77
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of June 29 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$6.68
$1.64
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in July?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.22
$1.66
- NO
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.88
$-0.35
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in June?
8 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of June 29 2026?$5.10Jun 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in June?$1.52Jun 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of June 29 2026?$3.36Jun 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of June 29 2026?$3.93Jun 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of June 29 2026?$9.56Jun 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June?$1.06Jun 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?$1.14Jun 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $530 Week of June 29 2026?$9.73Jun 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of June 29 2026?$8.46Jun 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of June 29 2026?$9.46Jun 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B?$1.41Jun 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B?$1.64Jun 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?$1.25Jun 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $42B?$2.56Jun 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $42B?$4.32Jun 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in July?$0.67Jun 26, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in July?$2.03Jun 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$1.04Jun 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$1.32Jun 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?$4.79Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.