Quick-Epoxy
0x6165ef84d6b582a2add156f7c57d44c103e5a600
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$11.39
Realised
$13.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$915.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$875.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
767 shares @ 81.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$663.29
$41.71
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$537.00
$9.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
740 shares @ 70.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.06
$-17.49
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$360.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.62
$13.94
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.74
$3.60
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
35 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.55
$5.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.12
$0.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$4.35Jul 12, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$4.35Jul 12, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$39.15Jul 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$9.71Jul 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$9.72Jul 10, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$38.87Jul 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$34.27Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$87.00Jul 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?$157.15Jul 8, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?$183.99Jul 8, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?$75.90Jul 8, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?$26.44Jul 8, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?$137.91Jul 8, 00:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jul 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.26Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $106.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.