Brown-Second
0x616bd84a68892208ee343fb9030002d61880191e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.89
Total PnL
$-75.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?
242 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.20Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?$1.23Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and JD Vance handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?$1.00Feb 25, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.10Feb 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.22Feb 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?$10.00Feb 25, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?$1.00Feb 25, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump drink water during the State of the Union?$5.00Feb 25, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 15, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$20.00Nov 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Oct 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?$10.00Oct 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$1.00Oct 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".