Complex-Devil
0x617a8ae5d498827176b537bccc53423d4b480153
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$36.05
Total PnL
$-23.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$15.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
11 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$10.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
16 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (October 27 - November 2)
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?$5.00Jan 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?$2.80Jan 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.00Jan 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$15.00Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$10.00Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$5.24Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $7.04Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.30Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$15.35Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$15.53Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$30.62Jan 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.03Dec 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 10, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$15.00Dec 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$15.00Dec 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$5.00Dec 4, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win?$4.00Dec 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.00Dec 4, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)$26.04Dec 4, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $21.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".