Thunderous-Oar
0x61801a6246daf6a6fb35afec0d37e81d9f2ac159
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$83.49
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$43.33May 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.04 in May?$40.01May 22, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$83.35May 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$83.27Apr 23, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB dip to $300 in March?$20.02Apr 23, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$25.05Apr 23, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $40 in March?$38.20Apr 23, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 in March?$38.16Mar 27, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$25.00Mar 27, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in March?$20.00Mar 27, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chainlink dip to $2 in February?$83.15Mar 27, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $2 in February?$83.07Feb 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$1.8KDec 10, 05:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?$2.8KDec 10, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?$56.89Dec 9, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?$56.83Nov 26, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in October?$56.83Nov 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in October?$56.77Oct 26, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$56.77Oct 26, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$56.71Sep 26, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $338.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.