Glistening-Review
0x61834ef0ba07f1e1841282a6f4b92f7181a09f60
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$23.25
Total PnL
$-868.76
Realised
$-112.95
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 21?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$17.80
$3.55
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.43
$0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 21?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.02
$-7.39
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
25630 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-25.63
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
24760 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-24.76
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
23060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-23.06
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?
522 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
401 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET
206 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$2.05Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 22?$1.90Jul 22, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 22?$1.93Jul 22, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?$1.97Jul 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?$2.04Jul 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$1.86Jul 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$1.91Jul 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?$1.43Jul 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$1.88Jul 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$3.71Jul 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$1.79Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$1.93Jul 21, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?$1.49Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?$1.84Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?$1.90Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 21?$6.20Jul 21, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 21?$14.39Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$4.91Jul 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 21?$1.84Jul 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 21?$1.90Jul 21, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.