0x6184397c3f53bffa9217953843466b101f070b5d
0x6184397c3f53bffa9217953843466b101f070b5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.97
Total PnL
$-0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $630 Week of August 3 2026?$1.00Aug 3, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of July 20 2026?$1.02Jul 24, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of July 20 2026?$1.00Jul 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.94Jul 18, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of June 29 2026?$0.00Jul 2, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of June 29 2026?$0.00Jul 2, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of June 29 2026?$0.00Jul 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of June 29 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of June 29 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of June 29 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$0.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?$1.02Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$1.01Jun 30, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$1.11Jun 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?$1.00Jun 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$1.00Jun 28, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$1.04Jun 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$1.00Jun 27, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 22 2026?$1.04Jun 26, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.