Absolute-Blackbird
0x6185c47b24240db0d6ead96b5960dc48a0a96b22
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$1.35
Total PnL
$-573.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.35
$0.31
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
15163 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
2617 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1956 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 13?
1297 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
929 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.59
- OVER
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
175 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-94.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
149 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
139 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?$23.58Jun 1, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.07Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.07May 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.14May 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.92May 21, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.02May 21, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.98May 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.91May 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 20, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?$16.47May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?$15.07May 17, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$15.19May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$16.50May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?$17.66May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 17?$16.33May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?$17.03May 17, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".