Bronze-Worship
0x6187a60063025fe0190af60fe57110f4cbd7e57f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-518.86
Realised
$-78.05
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
10965 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.93
- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?
1847 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-217.36
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
1267 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.44
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
1100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
465 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.29
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
266 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
195 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?$0.12Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.00Mar 17, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?$5.57Mar 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?$10.00Mar 17, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Mar 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.00Mar 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$7.40Mar 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$5.00Mar 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$8.20Mar 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.73Mar 16, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$2.25Mar 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$1.78Mar 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$0.24Mar 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$1.98Mar 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$5.40Mar 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?$3.88Mar 7, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?$1.22Feb 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?$4.28Feb 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?$0.50Feb 17, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$39.98Feb 2, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.