Ill-Fated-Mankind
0x618a0528d47a7baf557ba9f88b33eb5bd77b6506
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.55
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.27
- NO
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.09
- NO
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.08
- NO
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.12
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.12
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.20
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?$1.00Sep 6, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$1.24May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?$1.23May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?$1.20May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?$1.20May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.00May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?$1.12May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have a #1 AI model this year?$1.06May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$1.00May 10, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.