Muddy-Steward
0x618b2f16c31a81a33c63176cf96c3d660c3250e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.50
Total PnL
$-23.6K
Realised
$4.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$1.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
4508 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
4507 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.27Mar 24, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$2.03Mar 24, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.03Mar 24, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$2.13Mar 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$2.00Feb 4, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$2.00Feb 4, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.00Feb 4, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.01Feb 4, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.01Feb 4, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.26Feb 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?$1.00Dec 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?$1.00Dec 8, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $367.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".