Limp-Employment
0x619051785a0ef3398519704753ebfddc559e5e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-6.1K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
30817 shares @ 8.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-1.5K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
22228 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9953 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-597.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
2019 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.1KJun 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$554.21May 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$358.72May 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$523.00May 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$690.31May 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$700.00May 23, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$523.00May 23, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$523.00May 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$104.55May 19, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$522.75May 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$522.84May 19, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$104.60May 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$104.60May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$115.00May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$300.00May 17, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$313.50May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$500.00May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$417.91May 17, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $978.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.