Rectangular-Doctorate
0x619a55f4be6e01dcd92261e61ce29334eba4a475
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$10.77
Total PnL
$-568.15
Realised
$-311.19
Win rate
22%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$2.68
$1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
2 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.82
$0.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
2 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.69
$0.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
2 shares @ 62.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.60
$0.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.46
$0.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
276 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
150 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
119 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.95Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.97Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.89Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.79Mar 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.76Mar 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.91Mar 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.97Mar 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.90Mar 10, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
82 closed markets, 22% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.