Ill-Fated-Wharf
0x619cd82bb336c7666ab2e36fd7ac7fc8170ab656
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.32
Realised
$-25.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
60 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
21 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
19 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.00Apr 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.00Apr 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.00Apr 6, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2.00Apr 5, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$4.22Apr 5, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.00Apr 5, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$100.00Apr 5, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.20Apr 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$60.00Apr 2, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video?$9.00Mar 31, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.