Prickly-Passport
0x619dc40631c5f78606d17ed1528d62898096b31c
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-40.80
Realised
$1.07
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
34 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.42
$-1.43
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
342 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
44 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
36 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?
19 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?
15 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?$1.044h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?$1.041d ago
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$1.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2.501d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$2.621d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$1.681d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.402d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.792d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.622d ago
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?$2.582d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.602d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.902d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$1.732d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.442d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.112d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.942d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".