Rough-Halloween
0x61a08a5d54e35a88de5ef68cd12de979108b694a
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.51
Total PnL
$-4.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$1.76
$0.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$1.73
$0.74
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 6, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1.00Mar 3, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?$2.08Feb 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?$1.00Feb 2, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$0.00Jan 29, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$0.00Jan 29, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$0.00Jan 29, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$0.00Jan 29, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$1.12Jan 29, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$5.05Jan 29, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$1.00Jan 25, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?$1.00Jan 24, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$5.00Jan 24, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.