Watery-Asphalt
0x61a20e05a8ce8e19671cafe974c8555fd82ade30
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$11.31
Total PnL
$-3.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released before July?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.67
$0.67
- NO
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
3100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 16, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.00Dec 16, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$2.10Dec 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released before July?$2.00Jun 3, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$1.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?$2.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?$1.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$2.00Jun 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast buy TikTok before July?$2.15Jun 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?$1.00Jun 3, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill TikTok be banned again before May?$2.60Jun 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$2.00Mar 7, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be banned again before May?$2.00Mar 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast buy TikTok before July?$2.00Mar 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?$1.00Mar 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fiorentina win the Serie A?$1.00Mar 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.01Mar 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caris LeVert win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?$1.00Mar 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?$1.01Mar 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$1.06Mar 7, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.