0x61a7b9f8a53fb48124a8bcade18748612d8ff4d1
0x61a7b9f8a53fb48124a8bcade18748612d8ff4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-873.63
Realised
$-221.95
Win rate
0%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 3?
1314 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 6?
1007 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 3?
940 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?
769 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?
656 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 7?
515 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 3?
377 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 3?
373 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- NO
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
296 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?
296 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?$3.00Jul 15, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?$2.00Jul 15, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?$2.00Jul 15, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14?$2.00Jul 15, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 14?$2.00Jul 15, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?$6.00Jul 14, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?$1.92Jul 14, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$4.00Jul 14, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 14?$4.00Jul 14, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?$7.86Jul 14, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 14?$4.00Jul 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?$1.26Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?$1.05Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?$1.05Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?$1.16Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 15?$1.05Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?$1.18Jul 14, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
47 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.