Rewarding-Arm
0x61af9eea491695523cc5b4364b14cd1103ced383
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-828.04
Realised
$-223.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?
4861 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-89.27
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
2971 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.12
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?
2298 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-178.34
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
2226 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
2091 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.30
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
986 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
886 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?
305 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$31.30Oct 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 30, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 30, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 30, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 30, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLPolish snap election called in 2025?$27.08Oct 30, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$3.36Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$8.01Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$15.37Jul 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPolish snap election called in 2025?$100.00Jul 22, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?$40.00Jul 21, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?$20.00Jul 21, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$20.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$20.00Jul 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$73.96Jul 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?$21.00Jul 20, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released before August?$20.00Jul 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?$40.00Jul 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?$28.27Jul 20, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?$0.60Jul 18, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $38.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 07:08 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".