Generous-Gigantism
0x61be8532a29265fd44e83c0fc0ae28515fc51fb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-476.62
Realised
$39.96
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
2250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.25
- TYLOO
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
1007 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?
636 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- PLAYTIME
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10PM ET
258 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- TYLOO
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
250 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 17?$1.06Jul 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 16?$2.13Jul 16, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$300.00Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$138.75Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$200.00Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$80.00Jul 12, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$220.00Jul 7, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$138.60Jul 6, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$160.00Jul 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$73.60Jul 5, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-23?$149.97Jun 23, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$1.03Jun 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$2.50Jun 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$0.23Jun 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.64Jun 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$0.47Jun 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$5.40Jun 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$0.47Jun 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$4.10Jun 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$2.28Jun 23, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.